Język Polski
English
Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland (Expert Opinion of the European Financial Congress)
Leszek Pawłowicz
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2580-6708Marta Penczar
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3564-1460Abstract
Rapid economic developments combined with the considerable volatility of financial markets and the growing importance of non-quantifiable behavioural factors all suggest that expert knowledge should be leveraged to a greater extent in macroeconomic forecasts.
The purpose of this article is to present the results of the second edition of the “Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland” project. The survey was conducted in December 2018. The article presents a consensus forecast by EFC experts. In addition to traditional macroeconomic forecasts for Poland, it also lists threats to sustainable economic development and financial system stability together with subjective estimates of their probabilities. Using the knowledge and competence of EFC experts, recommendations concerning economic policy measures have been formulated with the aim of mitigating the future impact of the threats identified.
Keywords:
macroeconomic challenges, macroeconomic forcasts, financial stabilityJEL Codes
G17, G18, E17, E20Most read articles by the same author(s)
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