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Analysis of the sensitivity of mortgage servicing costs to changes in interest rates
Michał Boda
Abstract
This paper is aimed at comparing mortgage loans (among other type and level of interest rate) in selected European countries, as well as conducting sensitivity analysis of changes in the value of credit instalments in the situation of rising interest rates. Fixed rate mortgage loans have dominated in many highly developed countries, which were largely financed by long-term bonds and covered bonds. In turn adjustable rate mortgages have mainly dominated in developing countries , primarily financed by customers deposits. The analysis of credit instalments cost has shown that interest rate increase by 1 p.p. could lead to rise of credit instalments by 13,88% and Debt to Income indicator by 6,63 p.p. This is a particular threat to Poland, in which all of newly granted mortgage loans were taken at variable interest rates. A long-term mortgage market based on a fixed interest rate would reduce cumulative risk in the Polish banking sector.
Keywords:
mortgage markets, credit risk, adjustable rate mortgageMost read articles by the same author(s)
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