Język Polski
English
Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland (Expert Opinion of the European Financial Congress)
Leszek Pawłowicz
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2580-6708Marta Penczar
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3564-1460Abstract
Rapid economic developments combined with the considerable volatility of financial markets and the growing importance of non-quantifiable behavioural factors all suggest that expert knowledge should be leveraged to a greater extent in macroeconomic forecasts.
The purpose of this article is to present the results of the second edition of the “Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland” project. The survey was conducted in December 2018. The article presents a consensus forecast by EFC experts. In addition to traditional macroeconomic forecasts for Poland, it also lists threats to sustainable economic development and financial system stability together with subjective estimates of their probabilities. Using the knowledge and competence of EFC experts, recommendations concerning economic policy measures have been formulated with the aim of mitigating the future impact of the threats identified.
Keywords:
macroeconomic challenges, macroeconomic forcasts, financial stabilityJEL Codes
G17, G18, E17, E20Most read articles by the same author(s)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts - 8TH edition , Safe Bank: Vol. 85 No. 4 (2021)
- Marcin Mrowiec, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts , Safe Bank: Vol. 87 No. 2 (2022)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, A Synthesis of Remarks by Expert of the European Financial Congress Concerning Regulating Outsourcing in the Banking Sector in Poland , Safe Bank: Vol. 82 No. 1 (2021)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress – VII Edition , Safe Bank: Vol. 83 No. 2 (2021)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Marta Penczar, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress , Safe Bank: Vol. 79 No. 2 (2020)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Marcin Mrowiec, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland – X Edition – December 2022 , Safe Bank: Vol. 89 No. 4 (2022)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Position of the European Financial Congress with regard to the European Commission’s consultation document on Digital Operational Resilience Framework for Financial Services , Safe Bank: Vol. 79 No. 2 (2020)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress – V Edition – update of the study , Safe Bank: Vol. 80 No. 3 (2020)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress – VI Edition – update of the study , Safe Bank: Vol. 81 No. 4 (2020)
- Marta Penczar, Marcin Mrowiec, Najważniejsze zagrożenia dla polityki gospodarczej, stabilności systemu finansowego i wiarygodności PLN – wyniki konsensusu prognostycznego Europejskiego Kongresu Finansowego , Safe Bank: Vol. 91 No. 2 (2023)
Details
References
Statistics
Authors
Citation rules
Licence
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.