Język Polski
English
EKF macroeconomic consensus: forecasts, threats, opportunities and recommendations
Leszek Pawłowicz
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2580-6708Marta Penczar
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3564-1460Teresa Bednarczyk
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9340-6864Abstract
The rapid pace of change in economic phenomena combined with the high volatility of financial markets and the growing importance of irrational behavioral factors, encourages a wider use of expert knowledge in macroeconomic forecasting. The aim of the article is to present the results of the fourth edition of the project Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland. The survey was conducted in the period November 8, 2019 – December 6, 2019. The article presents the prognostic consensus of experts cooperating with the European Financial Congress. In addition to classic macroeconomic forecasts for Poland, it contains threats to sustainable economic development and financial system stability, together with estimates of the subjective probability of implementation. Using the knowledge and competences of experts cooperating with EKF, recommended actions for economic policy were formulated, aimed at weakening the impact of identified threats in the future.
Keywords:
macroeconomic forecasts, macroeconomic challenges, financial stabilityJEL Codes
G17, G18, E20, E17Similar Articles
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Marta Penczar, Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland (Expert Opinion of the European Financial Congress) , Safe Bank: Vol. 73 No. 4 (2018)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts - 8TH edition , Safe Bank: Vol. 85 No. 4 (2021)
- Marcin Mrowiec, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts , Safe Bank: Vol. 87 No. 2 (2022)
You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.
Most read articles by the same author(s)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts - 8TH edition , Safe Bank: Vol. 85 No. 4 (2021)
- Marcin Mrowiec, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland in the opinion of European Financial Congress experts , Safe Bank: Vol. 87 No. 2 (2022)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Marta Penczar, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress , Safe Bank: Vol. 79 No. 2 (2020)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress – VII Edition , Safe Bank: Vol. 83 No. 2 (2021)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, A Synthesis of Remarks by Expert of the European Financial Congress Concerning Regulating Outsourcing in the Banking Sector in Poland , Safe Bank: Vol. 82 No. 1 (2021)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Marcin Mrowiec, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland – X Edition – December 2022 , Safe Bank: Vol. 89 No. 4 (2022)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Marta Penczar, Macroeconomic Challenges and Forecasts for Poland (Expert Opinion of the European Financial Congress) , Safe Bank: Vol. 73 No. 4 (2018)
- Marta Penczar, Assumptions and implications resulting from CCD2 for the consumer credit market in Poland , Safe Bank: Vol. 93 No. 4 (2023)
- Leszek Pawłowicz, Position of the European Financial Congress with regard to the European Commission’s consultation document on Digital Operational Resilience Framework for Financial Services , Safe Bank: Vol. 79 No. 2 (2020)
- Ludwik Kotecki, Leszek Pawłowicz, Macroeconomic challenges and forecasts for Poland according to experts of the European Financial Congress – V Edition – update of the study , Safe Bank: Vol. 80 No. 3 (2020)
Details
References
Statistics
Authors
Citation rules
Licence
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.